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INFORM Risk Index 2025
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INFORM Trend 2016 - 2025
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*Updated on 09/09/2024: limited corrections in "Recent Shocks" datasets affecting Bahrain, Liechtenstein, and Nauru, and a limited correction in "Child Mortality" dataset affecting Liechtenstein to ensure data integrity and accuracy.
Results interpretation
The overall INFORM risk index identifies countries at risk from humanitarian crises and disasters that could overwhelm national response capacity. It is made up of three dimensions - hazards and exposure, vulnerability and lack of coping capacity. This map shows the risk for all the countries.
10 Years trends in Global Risk
Over the last ten years (INFORM Risk Index 2016-2025), there has been a general increase in the risk of humanitarian crises at global level. While there has been an improvement in coping capacity, this has been negated by large increases in the number of people exposed to hazards, and to their vulnerability. The development of institutions and infrastructure has helped decrease risks, but this has not kept pace with the increased exposure to natural hazards and conflict, combined with socioeconomic challenges.
During the last decade, conflict, displacement and shocks like the Covid-19 crisis were important drivers of increasing crisis risk. There is a noticeable increase in vulnerability and risk after 2020 that coincides with the timing of the Covid-19 pandemic and its effects. According to Global Humanitarian Overview 2023, the effects of the pandemic have triggered food and energy price increases in crisis-affected countries. The effect of such price increases on vulnerable people could be one mechanism through which the structural impacts of the pandemic continue to increase broader crisis risks.
10 Years trends in Regional Risk
There is some variance in how risk has changed in different regions over the last 10 years. There has been a general reduction of risk in Asia and Oceania, and a general increase in the Americas.
The large increase in the Americas can be attributed to considerable increases in Human Hazard and Uprooted People. There have been considerable improvements in Coping Capacity in the region, mainly related to Infrastructure. However, these could not keep pace with other dimensions.
The decrease in risk in Asia is due to a considerable decrease in Socioeconomic Vulnerability and improved Coping Capacity, especially the Infrastructure component. This has counteracted an increase in emerging hazards.
Africa remains the highest risk region and where 11 out of 16 of the highest risk countries are located. This is due to large underperformances in all risk dimensions.