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INFORM Risk Index 2025 2nd edition
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INFORM Trend 2016 - 2025 - 2nd edition
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Results interpretation
The overall INFORM risk index identifies countries at risk from humanitarian crises and disasters that could overwhelm national response capacity. It is made up of three dimensions - hazards and exposure, vulnerability and lack of coping capacity. This map shows the risk for all the countries.
10 Years trends in Global Risk
Over the last ten years (INFORM Risk Index 2016-2025 2nd edition), there has been a general increase in the risk of humanitarian crises at global level. While there has been an improvement in coping capacity, this has been negated by large increases in the number of people exposed to hazards, and to their vulnerability. The development of institutions and infrastructure has helped decrease risks, but this has not kept pace with the increased exposure to natural hazards and conflict, combined with socioeconomic challenges.
Over the past decade, conflict, displacement, and shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic have been key drivers of rising global crisis risks. A noticeable increase in risk emerged after 2020, coinciding with the pandemic and its widespread impacts. In the years following, risks intensified further especially after 2022, driven by escalating armed conflicts that triggered mass displacement and disrupted food systems worldwide. Simultaneously, the number of people affected by natural disasters has surged due to extreme weather events, seismic catastrophes, and large-scale flooding disproportionately impacting vulnerable regions.
10 Years trends in Regional Risk
There is some variance in how risk has changed in different regions over the last 10 years. Risk in Oceania is quite stable. There has been a general reduction of risk in Asia, and a general increase in Americas.
The large increase in the Americas can be attributed to considerable increases in Human Hazard and Uprooted People. There have been considerable improvements in Coping Capacity in the region, mainly related to Infrastructure. However, these could not keep pace with other dimensions.
The decrease in risk in Asia is due to a considerable decrease in Socioeconomic Vulnerability and improved Coping Capacity, especially the infrastructure component. This has counteracted an increase in emerging hazards.
Africa remains the highest risk region and where 12 out of 17 of the highest risk countries are located. This is due to large underperformances in all risk dimensions.
Europe has experienced a sharp increase in risk since 2022 driven by dramatic increase in human hazard and displacement figures.